O. Olawale Awe , A. Adedayo Adepoju
ARTICLE

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ABSTRACT

Estimation in Dynamic Linear Models (DLMs) with Fixed Parameters (FPs) has been faced with considerable limitations due to its inability to capture the dynamics of most time-varying phenomena in econometric studies. An attempt to address this limitation resulted in the use of Recursive Bayesian Algorithms (RBAs) which is also affected by increased computational problems in estimating the Evolution Variance (EV) of the time-varying parameters. In this paper, we propose a modified RBA for estimating TVPs in DLMs with reduced computational challenges.

KEYWORDS

discounted variance, dynamic models, granularity range, estimation algorithm.

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