Cohort patterns of fertility in Poland based on  staging process – generations 1930-1980

Wioletta  Grzenda; Ewa  Frątczak

doi:https://doi.org/10.21307/stattrans-2018-018

Cohort patterns of fertility in Poland based on staging process – generations 1930-1980

Wioletta Grzenda Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, Institute of Statistics and Demography. Poland. , Ewa Frątczak Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, Institute of Statistics and Demography. Poland. Statistics in Transition new series, vol. 19, 2018, 2, pages: 315-330 Published online: 1 June 2018 https://doi.org/10.21307/stattrans-2018-018

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ABSTRACT

As a transition country in the region of Central and Eastern Europe, Poland has experienced unprecedented changes in the fertility. Currently, the total fertility rate level is very low, ca. 1.3 children per woman, which is below the replacement level. Many studies have described changes in fertility based on the crosssectional approach. However, the changes of cohort fertility have been described not quite sufficiently. Our paper complements this gap by the assessment of stochastic fertility tables, calculated for five-year generations of women born in the period 1930-1980. The main goal of this study is to analyse changes in the cohort patterns of female fertility in Poland.

KEYWORDS

cohort fertility, stochastic process, stage probabilities.

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