Changing mortality distribution in developed countries from 1970 to 2010: looking at averages and beyond them

Adam  Szulc

doi:https://doi.org/10.59170/stattrans-2016-027

Changing mortality distribution in developed countries from 1970 to 2010: looking at averages and beyond them

Adam Szulc Warsaw School of Economics, Institute of Statistics and Demography; Madalińskiego 6/8, 02-513 Warszawa, Poland. Statistics in Transition new series, vol. 17, 2016, 3, pages: 467-496 Published online: 1 September 2016 https://doi.org/10.59170/stattrans-2016-027

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ABSTRACT

The methods typically developed in income inequality and poverty research are employed to observe changes in life spans distribution in 35 developed countries. The analyses are performed at two levels, using the same methods when possible: i/ taking the countries as the units with a mean length of life being a single parameter representing the distribution, ii/ utilizing the country life tables (taking people as the units) in order to compare other than mean length of life attributes of mortality distribution. Increasing divergence in the mean length of life across the countries is due to growing distance of the countries below the median, mainly the post-communist ones, to the upper half. The comparisons of the within-country distributions of ages at death by means of the Kullback-Leibler divergence provides similar results. However, poverty and inequality indices calculated at this level yield opposite conclusions. Hence, most of the between-country variation might be attributed to the variation in the mean length of life while the changes in within-country inequality reduced this effect. At the same time, huge alterations in the within-country mortality rankings can be observed. Australia, Japan, Taiwan, Austria and Luxembourg may be said to be the “winners” while most of the post-communist countries are among the “losers”.

KEYWORDS

mean length of life, mortality distribution, poverty and inequality indices.

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