Temporal aspects of poverty in Poland between 1997—2000 by hazard models

Natalia Nehrebecka

Natalia Nehrebecka Department of Statistics National Bank of Poland, Faculty of Economic Sciences University of Warsaw Statistics in Transition new series, vol. 10, 2009, 3, pages: 479-503 Published online: 1 December 2009

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ABSTRACT

This paper examines the extent and characteristics of poverty in Poland analyzed on the basis of panel data from CHER (Consortium of Household Panels for European Socio-Economic Research) for the years 1997–2000. The analysis presented shows a low households’ dynamic of income in this period. The total number of years spent in poverty as well as different sequences of entry to and exit from poverty suggest the tendency to a persistent form of this phenomenon in the population. During the period studied, the basis for the calculation of the number of years spent in poverty was the rate of exit from and entry to poverty. The calculations have been made according to the method of analyzing poverty dynamics by hazard models, considering observed and unobserved heterogeneity of individuals to “explain” a chance of exit and return to the sphere of poverty.

KEYWORDS

Permanent and transient poverty, Hazard models, Multi-spell poverty episodes, Unobserved heterogeneity

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